Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Retail Trade Earnings Growth
Across Mississippi Counties
Real* Retail Trade
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Retail Trade
Earnings Growth
Mississippi:
2010-2022 = 3.44%
2022 = 2.85%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real retail trade earnings growth across all of Mississippi's 82 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Mississippi Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real retail trade earnings growth of Mississippi's 82 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Retail Trade
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Retail Trade
Earnings Growth
Mississippi:
2010-2022 = 3.44%
2022 = 2.85%
This figure displays the 82 counties of Mississippi as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real retail trade earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real retail trade earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 3.44%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 3.44% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (3.44%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 27 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 50 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 36 counties whose most recent (2022) real retail trade earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (2.85%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 41 counties whose real retail trade earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 82 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 3.44% over 2010-2022 and 2.85% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (3.44%) and near-term (2.85%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (3.44%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Mississippi average (2.85%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (3.44%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (2.85%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (3.44%) and near-term (2.85%).
   
 
Summary of Mississippi's 82 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(2.85%)
Above
(2.85%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(3.44%)
9
18
27
Below
(3.44%)
32
18
50
 
41
36
77
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Mississippi:
2010-2022 = 3.44%
2022 = 2.85%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Mississippi counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Mississippi's average annual real retail trade earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 3.44%) as well as near-term (2022 = 2.85%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Mississippi's 82 counties, 18 (22%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Mississippi:
2010-2022 = 3.44%
2022 = 2.85%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 9 Mississippi counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 3.44%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 2.85%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 9 (11%) of Mississippi's 82 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Mississippi:
2010-2022 = 3.44%
2022 = 2.85%
This figure shows the distribution of the 18 Mississippi counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 3.44%), while they outpaced Mississippi's average near-term (2022 = 2.85%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Mississippi's 82 counties, 22% (18) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Mississippi:
2010-2022 = 3.44%
2022 = 2.85%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 32 Mississippi counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real retail trade earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 3.44%) as well as near-term (2022 = 2.85%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
39% of Mississippi's counties, 32 of 82, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Mississippi
Real* Retail Trade Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
10
4.62
 
20
4.22
5,580
 
12
4.47
 
22
4.09
29,467
 
1
9.38
 
15
4.97
11,964
 
11
4.58
 
33
3.16
7,909
 
19
3.89
 
16
4.82
67,257
 
26
3.68
 
29
3.32
512,567
 
13
4.45
 
13
5.25
29,087
 
4
5.94
 
21
4.17
127,885
 
6
5.84
 
25
3.88
219,554
 
21
3.82
 
35
3.07
65,497
 
3
6.21
 
23
4.01
430,672
 
2
6.43
 
7
5.69
83,061
 
23
3.80
 
30
3.27
84,289
 
7
5.58
 
19
4.44
526,804
 
8
5.43
 
4
6.58
33,613
 
15
4.34
 
2
8.60
15,491
 
9
4.77
 
5
5.81
40,143
 
18
3.90
 
17
4.53
29,162
Slipping Counties
 
5
5.87
 
58
0.73
496,568
 
24
3.78
 
47
2.04
37,197
 
14
4.35
 
39
2.80
90,945
 
27
3.62
 
48
1.97
83,015
 
22
3.80
 
54
1.44
98,112
 
16
4.20
 
64
-0.34
33,423
 
25
3.72
 
62
0.21
31,106
 
20
3.83
 
68
-1.49
10,498
 
17
4.02
 
75
-3.22
24,267
Gaining Counties
 
37
3.06
 
10
5.34
101,485
 
49
2.40
 
12
5.27
8,828
 
46
2.60
 
18
4.51
36,725
 
34
3.15
 
24
3.98
16,538
 
70
-0.07
 
6
5.80
193,556
 
32
3.21
 
32
3.24
70,298
 
38
3.01
 
28
3.33
217,636
 
74
-0.53
 
36
3.01
7,463
 
35
3.13
 
26
3.83
129,416
 
36
3.09
 
1
9.27
10,812
 
30
3.36
 
9
5.34
321,919
 
42
2.71
 
14
5.18
50,785
 
58
1.77
 
27
3.51
20,818
 
50
2.39
 
11
5.29
8,904
 
69
-0.02
 
34
3.15
4,983
 
66
0.49
 
3
8.54
7,032
 
33
3.20
 
8
5.56
38,165
 
47
2.57
 
31
3.25
23,577
Lagging Counties
 
45
2.61
 
66
-0.59
79,023
 
51
2.34
 
57
1.02
78,113
 
68
0.11
 
61
0.24
2,513
 
31
3.33
 
56
1.17
28,252
 
76
-1.82
 
77
-7.24
4,971
 
60
1.51
 
42
2.62
10,030
 
55
1.96
 
55
1.22
37,044
 
61
1.27
 
52
1.56
34,614
 
57
1.93
 
76
-6.31
30,737
 
40
2.85
 
49
1.93
485,915
 
71
-0.23
 
72
-2.60
12,310
 
77
-3.26
 
79
-12.48
4,893
 
72
-0.25
 
44
2.41
13,196
 
75
-1.62
 
70
-2.04
3,403
 
56
1.93
 
37
2.84
213,620
 
39
2.96
 
41
2.66
28,187
 
48
2.41
 
53
1.51
133,716
 
43
2.64
 
50
1.88
31,388
 
59
1.77
 
69
-1.79
43,115
 
73
-0.26
 
46
2.31
10,655
 
62
1.23
 
74
-3.02
16,331
 
53
2.22
 
65
-0.51
93,465
 
28
3.42
 
63
0.00
46,048
 
41
2.71
 
38
2.80
49,259
 
64
0.93
 
45
2.36
33,270
 
52
2.32
 
71
-2.16
27,458
 
44
2.64
 
73
-2.92
17,044
 
29
3.38
 
40
2.79
48,853
 
54
2.18
 
59
0.56
106,618
 
65
0.90
 
60
0.38
81,791
 
67
0.19
 
67
-1.22
6,807
 
63
1.08
 
43
2.50
9,407
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
80
-24.53
40
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
78
-8.44
3,050
 
U
U
 
51
1.61
9,431
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.44
 
2.85
6,336,741
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.97
 
3.04
861,699,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_610700_LSGL
 
   
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