Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing State Government Earnings Growth
Across Mississippi Counties
Real* State Government
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* State Government
Earnings Growth
Mississippi:
2010-2022 = 1.78%
2022 = 2.03%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real state government earnings growth across all of Mississippi's 82 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Mississippi Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real state government earnings growth of Mississippi's 82 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* State Government
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* State Government
Earnings Growth
Mississippi:
2010-2022 = 1.78%
2022 = 2.03%
This figure displays the 82 counties of Mississippi as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real state government earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real state government earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real state government earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 1.78%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 1.78% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real state government earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (1.78%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 9 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 66 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 18 counties whose most recent (2022) real state government earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (2.03%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 57 counties whose real state government earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 82 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 1.78% over 2010-2022 and 2.03% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real state government earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (1.78%) and near-term (2.03%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real state government earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (1.78%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Mississippi average (2.03%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real state government earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (1.78%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (2.03%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real state government earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (1.78%) and near-term (2.03%).
   
 
Summary of Mississippi's 82 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(2.03%)
Above
(2.03%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(1.78%)
7
2
9
Below
(1.78%)
50
16
66
 
57
18
75
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Mississippi:
2010-2022 = 1.78%
2022 = 2.03%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Mississippi counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Mississippi's average annual real state government earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 1.78%) as well as near-term (2022 = 2.03%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real state government earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Mississippi's 82 counties, just 2 (2%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Mississippi:
2010-2022 = 1.78%
2022 = 2.03%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 7 Mississippi counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real state government earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 1.78%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 2.03%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real state government earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 7 (9%) of Mississippi's 82 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Mississippi:
2010-2022 = 1.78%
2022 = 2.03%
This figure shows the distribution of the 16 Mississippi counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real state government earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 1.78%), while they outpaced Mississippi's average near-term (2022 = 2.03%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real state government earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Mississippi's 82 counties, 20% (16) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Mississippi:
2010-2022 = 1.78%
2022 = 2.03%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 50 Mississippi counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real state government earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 1.78%) as well as near-term (2022 = 2.03%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real state government earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
61% of Mississippi's counties, 50 of 82, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Mississippi
Real* State Government Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
8
2.04
 
5
5.11
41,837
 
5
5.55
 
1
65.16
1,901
Slipping Counties
 
3
6.47
 
58
-1.35
8,414
 
1
50.05
 
49
-0.66
30,334
 
7
2.53
 
26
0.91
1,815,484
 
2
16.16
 
72
-4.85
12,291
 
9
1.96
 
65
-2.22
6,688
 
4
6.45
 
46
-0.26
4,997
 
6
3.18
 
75
-7.26
9,665
Gaining Counties
 
21
0.79
 
7
4.17
11,966
 
30
0.58
 
17
2.13
48,049
 
38
0.28
 
13
2.89
1,780
 
63
-0.30
 
12
2.99
2,136
 
15
0.91
 
15
2.64
103,197
 
41
0.21
 
6
4.81
1,570
 
48
0.10
 
3
7.26
11,243
 
40
0.26
 
2
12.15
72,431
 
22
0.77
 
11
3.15
2,128
 
12
1.62
 
8
4.02
14,819
 
10
1.78
 
18
2.11
41,045
 
56
-0.01
 
10
3.84
3,755
 
64
-0.32
 
14
2.77
2,229
 
32
0.48
 
16
2.55
4,507
 
72
-1.02
 
4
5.14
173,959
 
34
0.46
 
9
3.87
1,745
Lagging Counties
 
42
0.20
 
23
1.28
6,164
 
50
0.06
 
41
-0.07
1,458
 
29
0.59
 
35
0.36
10,644
 
26
0.65
 
27
0.88
918
 
36
0.37
 
31
0.47
1,491
 
18
0.84
 
19
1.89
1,186
 
54
0.02
 
70
-3.88
2,228
 
35
0.38
 
66
-3.01
1,355
 
43
0.16
 
57
-1.21
1,963
 
19
0.84
 
56
-1.20
7,006
 
59
-0.08
 
62
-1.94
3,079
 
53
0.04
 
33
0.43
7,401
 
28
0.61
 
20
1.45
224,756
 
31
0.48
 
24
1.06
1,235
 
33
0.47
 
59
-1.38
2,509
 
24
0.73
 
42
-0.13
1,549
 
60
-0.19
 
44
-0.16
1,244
 
20
0.80
 
45
-0.21
22,427
 
71
-0.99
 
60
-1.83
2,196
 
44
0.14
 
38
0.19
1,581
 
75
-2.91
 
68
-3.13
47,926
 
67
-0.48
 
37
0.24
1,230
 
55
-0.01
 
55
-1.18
1,257
 
66
-0.38
 
22
1.29
40,660
 
73
-1.10
 
69
-3.86
44,604
 
14
1.08
 
29
0.63
9,619
 
58
-0.06
 
71
-4.19
3,364
 
57
-0.02
 
50
-0.83
1,782
 
25
0.66
 
52
-1.09
4,904
 
74
-1.39
 
76
-15.86
24,931
 
23
0.74
 
74
-5.30
31,618
 
16
0.90
 
64
-2.21
7,305
 
27
0.62
 
40
0.00
1,403
 
45
0.14
 
51
-0.87
25,119
 
61
-0.26
 
43
-0.16
1,879
 
52
0.05
 
67
-3.04
3,507
 
11
1.68
 
34
0.36
1,112
 
70
-0.68
 
61
-1.88
1,250
 
13
1.41
 
63
-2.14
4,426
 
62
-0.28
 
54
-1.16
2,387
 
68
-0.68
 
32
0.45
2,906
 
46
0.13
 
73
-4.87
3,554
 
47
0.10
 
53
-1.12
1,411
 
37
0.33
 
21
1.40
5,059
 
17
0.87
 
47
-0.43
19,300
 
65
-0.36
 
30
0.52
2,327
 
51
0.05
 
28
0.66
1,068
 
69
-0.68
 
39
0.17
2,355
 
49
0.09
 
25
1.06
1,148
 
39
0.27
 
48
-0.58
16,488
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
46,940
 
U
U
 
S
S
18,367
 
U
U
 
S
S
543
 
U
U
 
S
S
402,596
 
U
U
 
S
S
491,516
 
U
U
 
36
0.32
44,832
 
U
U
 
S
S
59,731
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.78
 
2.03
4,110,984
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.81
 
2.68
477,522,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_620310_LSGL
 
   
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