Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Manufacturing Employment Growth
Across Mississippi Counties
Manufacturing
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Manufacturing
Employment Growth
Mississippi:
2010-2022 = 0.47%
2022 = 3.02%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of manufacturing employment growth across all of Mississippi's 82 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Mississippi Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the manufacturing employment growth of Mississippi's 82 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Manufacturing
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Manufacturing
Employment Growth
Mississippi:
2010-2022 = 0.47%
2022 = 3.02%
This figure displays the 82 counties of Mississippi as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual manufacturing employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the manufacturing employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term manufacturing employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 0.47%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 0.47% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual manufacturing employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (0.47%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 33 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 34 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 34 counties whose most recent (2022) manufacturing employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (3.02%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 33 counties whose manufacturing employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 82 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 0.47% over 2010-2022 and 3.02% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual manufacturing employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (0.47%) and near-term (3.02%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual manufacturing employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (0.47%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Mississippi average (3.02%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual manufacturing employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (0.47%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (3.02%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual manufacturing employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (0.47%) and near-term (3.02%).
   
 
Summary of Mississippi's 82 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(3.02%)
Above
(3.02%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(0.47%)
14
19
33
Below
(0.47%)
19
15
34
 
33
34
67
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Mississippi:
2010-2022 = 0.47%
2022 = 3.02%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Mississippi counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Mississippi's average annual manufacturing employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 0.47%) as well as near-term (2022 = 3.02%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual manufacturing employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Mississippi's 82 counties, 19 (23%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Mississippi:
2010-2022 = 0.47%
2022 = 3.02%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 14 Mississippi counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual manufacturing employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 0.47%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 3.02%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual manufacturing employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 14 (17%) of Mississippi's 82 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Mississippi:
2010-2022 = 0.47%
2022 = 3.02%
This figure shows the distribution of the 15 Mississippi counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual manufacturing employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 0.47%), while they outpaced Mississippi's average near-term (2022 = 3.02%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual manufacturing employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Mississippi's 82 counties, 18% (15) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Mississippi:
2010-2022 = 0.47%
2022 = 3.02%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 19 Mississippi counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual manufacturing employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 0.47%) as well as near-term (2022 = 3.02%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual manufacturing employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
23% of Mississippi's counties, 19 of 82, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Mississippi
Manufacturing Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
20
1.74
 
7
15.24
378
 
19
1.90
 
22
6.44
777
 
26
0.97
 
5
15.93
262
 
13
2.96
 
18
7.64
324
 
15
2.54
 
17
7.69
154
 
1
10.26
 
2
54.03
2,238
 
8
4.54
 
31
4.24
4,200
 
14
2.64
 
6
15.70
6,088
 
31
0.60
 
13
11.09
7,250
 
12
3.37
 
36
3.37
3,433
 
10
4.11
 
30
4.42
1,369
 
2
8.35
 
10
11.87
1,819
 
28
0.68
 
24
5.60
245
 
5
5.24
 
19
7.22
935
 
18
1.95
 
14
10.73
2,126
 
6
4.70
 
15
9.16
2,978
 
3
6.56
 
8
14.77
443
 
9
4.21
 
28
4.79
3,874
 
16
2.35
 
29
4.74
1,305
Slipping Counties
 
25
1.00
 
47
0.55
733
 
30
0.61
 
60
-1.98
1,534
 
24
1.14
 
40
2.19
327
 
32
0.57
 
55
-1.37
2,654
 
7
4.59
 
51
-0.46
1,951
 
21
1.59
 
64
-3.89
1,509
 
4
5.60
 
45
0.98
2,060
 
23
1.54
 
53
-1.20
12,192
 
17
1.95
 
41
1.88
8,163
 
11
3.71
 
57
-1.87
3,352
 
29
0.64
 
59
-1.91
2,932
 
33
0.50
 
61
-2.71
5,856
 
27
0.80
 
46
0.86
4,434
 
22
1.58
 
67
-6.81
903
Gaining Counties
 
44
-0.70
 
12
11.61
596
 
43
-0.47
 
20
7.05
2,565
 
54
-1.63
 
21
7.04
1,156
 
56
-1.71
 
33
4.13
479
 
48
-0.91
 
34
3.93
344
 
60
-2.38
 
3
25.73
562
 
61
-2.49
 
23
5.63
2,252
 
40
-0.26
 
37
3.26
3,930
 
35
0.10
 
4
20.52
969
 
45
-0.84
 
27
4.95
1,634
 
47
-0.91
 
9
13.74
778
 
67
-5.67
 
32
4.23
345
 
53
-1.57
 
25
5.17
407
 
55
-1.64
 
11
11.75
2,662
 
38
-0.12
 
26
5.05
645
Lagging Counties
 
62
-2.51
 
72
-10.50
1,798
 
50
-1.25
 
70
-10.08
562
 
64
-3.31
 
44
1.01
1,499
 
34
0.38
 
58
-1.90
4,696
 
51
-1.35
 
63
-3.30
995
 
49
-0.94
 
56
-1.54
14,108
 
58
-2.03
 
69
-9.71
316
 
42
-0.28
 
39
2.69
687
 
66
-3.86
 
66
-4.28
447
 
65
-3.31
 
65
-4.01
407
 
57
-1.85
 
73
-12.61
575
 
52
-1.42
 
48
0.44
1,154
 
46
-0.88
 
71
-10.50
537
 
41
-0.27
 
49
0.29
1,757
 
36
0.07
 
38
2.87
6,558
 
39
-0.14
 
42
1.68
1,028
 
37
-0.06
 
52
-0.74
538
 
59
-2.08
 
54
-1.31
1,132
 
63
-2.96
 
62
-3.30
557
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
16
8.09
187
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
35
3.48
3,453
 
U
U
 
43
1.35
601
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
68
-7.26
115
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
1
121.62
246
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
50
0.00
30
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
166
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.47
 
3.02
154,424
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.64
 
3.63
13,523,700
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1500N_510500_LSGL
 
   
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